Undergraduate Enrollment Up Nearly 5%, Slightly Below 2019 Levels; Freshman Enrollment Up 5.5%

HERNDON, VA – (JANUARY 23, 2025) – This past fall, total postsecondary enrollment rebounded above pre-Covid levels, according to the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center. Freshman enrollment grew 5.5 percent this fall (130,000), particularly at community colleges, which added 63,000 freshmen (+7.1%).

“It is encouraging to see the total number of postsecondary students rising above the pre-pandemic level for the first time this fall,” said Doug Shapiro, Executive Director of the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center. “It is also promising that freshman enrollment increased this fall — the growth is driven by older first-year students, as 18-year-olds are still below their 2019 numbers.”

Shapiro released a statement last week announcing that the preliminary freshman enrollment research released by the Research Center in October contained a methodological error. You can read that statement here.

The Current Term Enrollment Estimates (CTEE) report showed that total postsecondary enrollment is up 4.5% this fall (+817,000); undergraduate enrollment neared 16 million, just 1.0% below 2019 levels (+4.7%, +716,000 this fall), and graduate enrollment grew to 3.2 million (+3.3%, +100,000).

Additional highlights of the report include:

• Undergraduate enrollment increased across sectors with community colleges (public 2-year and public PABs combined) in particular, seeing a 5.9% increase, or 325,000 additional students.
• Undergraduate certificate program enrollment grew for the fourth consecutive year, up 9.9% in fall 2024 (+101,000) and enrollments are now 28.5% above 2019 levels. Enrollment in bachelor’s and associate degree programs also increased (+2.9% and +6.3%, respectively) but remain below 2019 levels.
• Freshman enrollment grew 5.5 percent this fall (+130,000). Building on last fall’s increases, the growth was strongest at community colleges, which added 63,000 freshmen (+7.1%). Overall, 18-year-old freshmen also saw enrollment gains this fall (+3.4%, +59,000).
• Public 2-year institutions with high vocational program focus saw double-digit growth for the second year in a row (+13.6%). These schools now encompass 19.5% of public 2-year enrollment, up from 15.3% in 2019.
• Enrollment increased across all regions this fall. Institutions in the Northeast saw a 4.7% increase, the first gains since prior to the pandemic. The South (+4.7%) and West (+4.6%) saw similar gains, followed by the Midwest (+3.1%).

The Current Term Enrollment Estimates (CTEE) series is published every January and May. It provides national enrollment estimates by credential type, institutional sector, enrollment intensity, age group, gender, major field as well as state-level enrollment estimates. For the complete CTEE Fall 2025 report, visit https://nscresearchcenter.org/current-term-enrollment-estimates/.

About the National Student Clearinghouse^® Research Center™

The National Student Clearinghouse Research Center, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization, is the research arm of the National Student Clearinghouse. The Research Center collaborates with higher education institutions, states, school districts, high schools, and educational organizations as part of a national effort to better inform education leaders and policymakers. Through accurate longitudinal data outcomes reporting, the Research Center enables better educational policy decisions leading to improved student outcomes. To learn more, visit nscresearchcenter.org.

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Subsequent Research Finds Freshman Enrollment Increased This Fall

HERNDON, VA – (JANUARY 13, 2025) – The National Student Clearinghouse Research Center today released a statement from Executive Director Doug Shapiro about an error affecting the freshman enrollment data in its October preliminary fall enrollment report:

“The National Student Clearinghouse Research Center has identified a methodological error affecting its calculation of freshman enrollment in the preliminary enrollment report released in October 2024. That report, called the Stay Informed Report, is based on data provided by 50 percent of higher education institutions. The error in research methodology caused the mislabeling of certain students as dual-enrolled rather than as freshmen and, as a result, the number of freshmen was undercounted, and the number of dual-enrolled was overcounted. The error also affected the Special Analysis of 18-year-old Freshmen report released in November.”

“Our subsequent research finds freshman enrollment increased this fall. The Research Center will release its Current Term Enrollment Estimates report on January 23 – this report is not based on preliminary data, encompasses nearly all institutions of higher education, and uses different methodologies to determine freshman enrollees.”

“The National Student Clearinghouse Research Center acknowledges the importance and significance of its role in providing accurate and reliable research to the higher education community. We deeply regret this error and are conducting a thorough review to understand the root cause and implement measures to prevent such occurrences in the future.”

The Research Center created the Stay Informed report in the summer of 2020 to provide early and real-time enrollment information to meet the acute information needs of the higher education community at the height of the COVID pandemic. The Research Center has continued to produce final and complete reporting on enrollment each winter in its Current Term Enrollment Estimates, released every January.

About the National Student Clearinghouse^® Research Center™

The National Student Clearinghouse Research Center, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization, is the research arm of the National Student Clearinghouse. The Research Center collaborates with higher education institutions, states, school districts, high schools, and educational organizations as part of a national effort to better inform education leaders and policymakers. Through accurate longitudinal data outcomes reporting, the Research Center enables better educational policy decisions leading to improved student outcomes. To learn more, visit nscresearchcenter.org.

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